like caribou and polar bears from petroleum leasing, and when this was released it set the stage for the more restrictive and smaller sale recently held, which failed. Under a new leasing plan, it would seem fairly simple to enlarge the area to be leased back to what was offered in 2021 (a much larger part of the 1.5-million-acre Coastal Plain) but in the newly revised EIS the Interior Department must be able to explain that the protections in the Biden EIS are no longer needed. This might be difficult in a court fight yet to come. It’s easier to tighten restrictions under the U.S. Environmental Protection Act than it is to loosen them without putting forward a scientific basis. Given that there’s not a lot of new research on polars bears and caribou, for instance, this might make a revised EIS legally vulnerable. A new sale could also be held using the Biden EIS, but companies may again be reluctant to bid. Summing up, it’s no slam dunk. There are also procedural hurdles confronting expanded leasing in the National Petroleum Reserve-Alaska mainly in that a new Integrated Activity Plan, or IAP, for land management likely needed, and IAPs can take several years if they are to be legally defensible. Revisions to NPR-A land management regulations, another controversial Biden policy, will likely take time to undo. On the Ambler Road, Trump’s team can fairly quickly redo Biden’s Record of Decision on the EIS for the 211-mile mineral access road (which selected the “no action” alternative, killing the permits) but new federal permits would need to be issued. Also, the company exploring in the Ambler region, Ambler Metals, believes a new supplemental EIS will be needed. That will take time and spur new lawsuits. An action Trump can also take, however, would be to lift the 1970s-era Public Land Orders that have closed access to millions of acres of public lands in northern and western Alaska to state land selections and mineral exploration. These old orders include PLO 5150 covering the Trans Alaska Pipeline System federal land corridor from the North Slope to Interior Alaska. The state of Alaska has long wanted PLO 5150 lifted to bring the vital TAPS corridor under state control, but Biden resisted this. It may now happen. The biggest improvements under Trump are likely to be a more business-friendly attitude within agencies. There will be upper-level changes but many existing personnel will remain and attitudes will change because people there will want to adhere to the new direction evident in Washington, D.C. Even under Biden, many mid-level managers were not happy with the policy decision coming from Washington, D.C., particularly in the U.S. Bureau of Land Management. But while these changes will be helpful if Trump’s policies are too drastic, it could make projects more vulnerable to lawsuit and delays. That would happen if agencies are cut too sharply so that the technical and scientific work underpinning permits are disrupted. Some resource development actions could get pushback within Alaska, too. ANWR leasing and more in NPR-A will be welcomed in North Slope communities but a new push on the Ambler Road, if done too aggressively, will face opposition from local villages and also politically strong Alaska Native corporations like Doyon Ltd. and NANA Regional Corp. Also, some Trump policies could hurt Alaskans. Proposed tariffs on imports, for example, could trigger retaliatory tariffs which will impede exports of Alaska minerals like zinc. Alaska’s fisheries industry also will be vulnerable because much Alaska seafood is sold in export markets. — Tim Bradner www.AlaskaAlliance.com 39 Serving all of Alaska since 1958 TEMSCO Helicopters, Inc PO Box 5057 Ketchikan, Alaska 99901 Phone 907-225-5141 • fax 907-225-2340 • www.TemscoAir.com HELICOPTERS, INC. TIMBER EXPLORATION MINING SURVEY CARGO OPERATIONS TEMSCO
RkJQdWJsaXNoZXIy MTcxMjMwNg==